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Muskie Fishing -> Fishing Reports and Destinations -> Ice Out Declared Minnetonka
 
Message Subject: Ice Out Declared Minnetonka
short STRIKE
Posted 4/24/2014 11:46 AM (#708562)
Subject: Ice Out Declared Minnetonka





Posts: 470


Location: Blaine, MN
7:30 A.M. this morning... It's a start.
dtaijo174
Posted 4/24/2014 12:08 PM (#708571 - in reply to #708562)
Subject: Re: Ice Out Declared Minnetonka





Posts: 1169


Location: New Hope MN
Isn't the average day April 16th? If so, we're not that far behind.
short STRIKE
Posted 4/24/2014 12:20 PM (#708572 - in reply to #708571)
Subject: Re: Ice Out Declared Minnetonka





Posts: 470


Location: Blaine, MN
Average is April 13th in everything I have read...

Earliest was March 11, 1878
Latest was May 5, 1857
bobbie
Posted 4/24/2014 5:25 PM (#708655 - in reply to #708572)
Subject: Re: Ice Out Declared Minnetonka




Posts: 559


short STRIKE - 4/24/2014 12:20 PM

Average is April 13th in everything I have read...

Earliest was March 11, 1878
Latest was May 5, 1857


Dave, get with it. Everybody know this. I just had a Blood Moon flashback
dtaijo174
Posted 4/25/2014 3:25 PM (#708819 - in reply to #708562)
Subject: RE: Ice Out Declared Minnetonka





Posts: 1169


Location: New Hope MN
Everyone is wrong!!!


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bobbie
Posted 4/26/2014 8:19 AM (#708903 - in reply to #708819)
Subject: RE: Ice Out Declared Minnetonka




Posts: 559


Boom!
VMS
Posted 4/26/2014 8:38 AM (#708908 - in reply to #708562)
Subject: Re: Ice Out Declared Minnetonka





Posts: 3480


Location: Elk River, Minnesota
Oh my...they are off by a few days...

The Average over DJ's post puts it happening at April 11th, at 9:07 A.M. This does not include last year which most likely would have shifted the time of day the ice went out on the 11th.
The Mode put it at any one of the 3 days from April 17th to the 19th since they all have the same number of years it went out on.
The Median puts it at April 16th.

So Technically, it could be argued that the best day to predict would be somewhere around the 17th give or take as it is closest to the median value and the mode values rather than the average.

That accurate enough for you or do we need standard deviation?
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